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Input Output Modelling of Labor Productivity and its Human Capital and Technology Components in Indian Economy

SHRI PRAKASH & BRINDA BALAKRISHNAN

The study evaluates criticism of New Economic Policy (NEP) that it has led to employment-less growth and examines the role of productivity in growth and employment creation by means of the Computable General Equilibrium Input Output Model. It covers data of one-decade after the adoption of reforms policy. Empirical results synthesize productivity and employment effects of growth. The sectoral productivity is estimated from IO Tables of 1988-89, 1993-94 and 1998-99 in 1993-94 producer prices. The paper combines production function and aggregation approaches as its methodological-theoretical framework. The partial approach impounds technology and final demand turn by turn. The model results are supplemented by statistical analysis of inter-sectoral variation and inter-relations between educational development and qualifications of workforce. Results show productivity to be the pivot of growth of most sectors. The study highlights realism/unrealism of the paradigms of employment-less, employment-neutral and employment augmenting growth under NEP.